TY - JOUR
T1 - Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension
AU - Semmler, Georg
AU - Hartl, Lukas
AU - Mendoza, Yuly Paulin
AU - Simbrunner, Benedikt
AU - Jachs, Mathias
AU - Balcar, Lorenz
AU - Schwarz, Michael
AU - Hofer, Benedikt Silvester
AU - Fritz, Laurenz
AU - Schedlbauer, Anna
AU - Stopfer, Katharina
AU - Neumayer, Daniela
AU - Maurer, Jurij
AU - Szymanski, Robin
AU - Meyer, Elias Laurin
AU - Scheiner, Bernhard
AU - Quehenberger, Peter
AU - Trauner, Michael
AU - Aigner, Elmar
AU - Berzigotti, Annalisa
AU - Reiberger, Thomas
AU - Mandorfer, Mattias
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2024 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
PY - 2024/10/1
Y1 - 2024/10/1
N2 - Background and Aims: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). Approach and Results: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern. LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%). HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria. LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. Conclusions: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.
AB - Background and Aims: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). Approach and Results: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern. LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%). HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria. LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. Conclusions: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.
KW - Humans
KW - Hypertension, Portal/diagnosis
KW - Female
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Male
KW - Risk Assessment/methods
KW - Aged
KW - Elasticity Imaging Techniques/methods
KW - Platelet Count
KW - Algorithms
KW - Chronic Disease
KW - Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis
KW - von Willebrand Factor/analysis
KW - Adult
KW - Liver Diseases/diagnosis
KW - Hematologic Tests/methods
KW - Cohort Studies
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85204510687
U2 - 10.1097/HEP.0000000000000829
DO - 10.1097/HEP.0000000000000829
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 38447034
SN - 0270-9139
VL - 80
SP - 887
EP - 900
JO - Hepatology
JF - Hepatology
IS - 4
ER -